Introduction

Energy demand in Mexico is projected to undergo significant changes between 2022 and 2050, influenced by the presence or absence of policy interventions aimed at emissions reduction. Under the baseline scenario (no policy intervention), the country’s energy demand grows steadily across major sectors, including transportation, stationary combustion (SCOE), and industrial energy.

This trend highlights the critical need for policy measures to mitigate emissions and promote sustainable energy use in Mexico. The absence of interventions results in an energy landscape heavily reliant on fossil fuels and minimal diversification into renewable sources. The implementation of targeted policies is crucial for transitioning the energy system towards sustainability and achieving net zero emissions. By enhancing energy efficiency, promoting electrification, and increasing the share of renewables such as wind, solar, and hydropower, Mexico can significantly reduce its carbon footprint and meet international climate goals.

Overall, the shift from a baseline scenario to a mitigation scenario emphasizes the importance of policy-driven strategies in reducing emissions. These policies not only help diversify the energy mix but also ensure that Mexico aligns with its climate commitments and contributes to global efforts to combat climate change. A proactive approach to emissions reduction, supported by policies and technological advancements, is vital for achieving a sustainable and resilient energy future in Mexico.